"Real Time" host Bill Maher wasn't nearly as confident about a Joe Biden victory in November as his guests were on Friday night.

Maher began by citing what he called "frightening" finds from electoral analyst Nate Silver, who recently determined that if Biden wins the popular vote by less than 1 percent, he'll have only a "6 percent chance" of becoming president through the electoral college.

Similarly, if Biden wins the popular vote by 1 or 2 percent, he'll have a "22 percent chance" of being elected in addition to the "46 percent chance" with a 2 to 3 percent popular vote margin.

"So he could win by 3 percent and he still has less than half a chance of winning the election," Maher said.

"The whole 'What about 2016?' thing, it's just not 2016," Hamby insisted.

and Joe Biden is just not Hillary Clinton.

Because 5 or 6 percent is a lot in this country.

"It could," Maher said.

"I am feeling less confident about this -- maybe it's just their convention bump got to me, but I'm feeling less confident than I was a month ago," Maher said