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2022 PGA Championship picks, odds: Expert predictions, favorites to win in betting field at Southern Hills - CBS Sports
May 19, 2022 4 mins, 6 secs
What do you do with a 15-time major champion who flashed over 18 holes at Augusta National only to post his two worst rounds at the course over the weekend in the last golf he has played entering the PGA.

Add it all up, and it would appear that we're in for a wild PGA Championship week full of unexpected twists and turns but also a lot of familiar names atop the leaderboard?

So what is going to happen this week in Tulsa, Oklahoma.

Let's take a look at a full set of predictions and picks from our CBS Sports experts -- along with a full slate of PGA Championship odds and a ranking of the top of the field -- as we attempt to project who will win and what will happen at the second major of the season1

Winner -- Shane Lowry (28-1): I've been trying to push away the idea of Lowry stealing a major championship out from underneath Jordan Spieth, Rory McIlroy and Justin Thomas, but I can't resist it any longer.

Lowry has been a top-five ball-striker so far in 2022 (Jon Rahm, Viktor Hovland, Will Zalatoris and Justin Thomas are the other four), and he's an elite iron player with a tremendous short game who played quite well at the Masters.

The only thing not to like is that he's not often talked about as a star or superstar of the sport.

Am I encouraged by the fact that he's never played golf this well in his entire life and comes in off the momentum of a win at the Wells Fargo.

If the short game complies, he's going to be in it.

1 of everyone in this field since the start of the year in strokes gained around the greens and is coming into this tournament off a pair of top-five finishes (Masters and Wells Fargo Championship).

I don't know that he's going to win, but I feel extremely confident that McIlroy is in for a big week.

From tee to green, he's been tremendous, but the short game has fallen off this year, and that's concerning going into a major championship that's going to demand a lot of it.

Though he's going to hit the ball well, it's the magical Scotty Cameron that's going to let him down in his bid for the career slam.

Tiger Woods prediction -- Finishes slightly better than at Augusta National: Big Cat created the bar at this year's Masters when he made the cut and finished in the top 50, and now that's what will (rightly) be expected going forward.

He has nine top-26 finishes in his last 10 major championship appearances and possesses one of the higher floors among the game's elites.

He finished in a tie for 14th at Augusta National in his Masters debut and has played long difficult golf courses like Torrey Pines, Quail Hollow and Memorial Park well.

Top 10 lock -- Dustin Johnson: I honestly like him to win, but Johnson will be the name at the top odds board, which will drift as the week progresses.

Open and this week should play like one.

Tiger Woods prediction -- Misses the cut: This ought to go over well?

I know he's getting "stronger." Still, difficult major championship setups have eaten Tiger's lunch in recent memory.

Southern Hills is going to be a stern examination and I'm not sure Woods will convert enough momentum-saving pars to pass the test.

Sleeper -- Jason Day (70-1): It's been a rollercoaster season for 34-year-old Day, but he enters the week having played some really strong golf of late with two top-15 finishes in his last three outings.

Sure, it's probably a cop-out, but Scheffler feels like a lock to be in contention this week!

He's said in the past that Southern Hills is one of his favorite courses, and it sets up well for him this week?

Star who definitely won't win -- Brooks Koepka: He's something of a wild card entering the week -- we've not seen him since the Masters -- but based upon that appearance, it's hard to feel confident in his chances this week.

Surprise prediction -- Bryson DeChambeau makes the cut: He's coming off surgery, and who knows in what form he'll arrive back on the scene.

Tiger Woods prediction -- Finishes outside the top 20: If we learned anything from his Masters appearance, it's that physically it gets more challenging for him as the week goes on.

He's coming off a T12 at the AT&T Byron Nelson and gained shots in all categories

Noren has gained strokes in every single individual event played this year except The American Express

It feels like we're always going to get at least nasty three-putt per round

Surprise prediction -- Patrick Cantlay will be in contention: It's time for Cantlay to compete in a major

Tiger Woods prediction -- Misses the cut: This is what I call a classic hedge against happiness

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